Ben Simmons Steals - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Steals

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has tallied 1.2 steals per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nets.
The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Nets.
Ben Simmons will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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