Ben Simmons Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 8:24 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has put up 6.3 defensive boards per game over the last 8 games while playing on the road, 2.2 more than he's put up in all games this season on the road.
Ben Simmons has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Nets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Nets.
Ben Simmons figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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