Ben Simmons Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has put up 6.3 defensive boards per game over the last 8 games away from his home court, 1.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons slots into the 81st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.
The Nets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ben Simmons will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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