Ben Simmons Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has posted 5.4 defensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 90th percentile.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 9.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nets.
The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Nets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nets grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while at home with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Ben Simmons will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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