Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nets check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have posted 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The Nets are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 23 games (the Heat).
Ben Simmons has made 1.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted overall this season on his home court.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons ranks in the 6th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while at home, totaling 0.0 per game this year.
Ben Simmons has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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