Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has successfully made 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while on the road as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers are at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6).
Compared to last season's 33.3% mark, Ben Simmons's foul-shot efficiency has spiked this season to 65.6%.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).
The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Nets.
The Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nets grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Ben Simmons will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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