Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has converted 60.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.5% more than he's converted in all games this season.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
Ben Simmons has converted an impressive 62.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 33.3 mark last year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons slots into the 81st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.
The Nets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ben Simmons will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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