Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 17, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shots from downtown, the Nets's outstanding 15.4 successful threes per game places 3rd-most in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, making this a good matchup.
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise possessions for the Nets.
Ben Simmons stands to see a rise in output across the board on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has attempted 0.0 treys per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Ben Simmons places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stworst in in the league as the home team with just 7.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons ranks in the 3rd percentile for free-throw effectiveness with an unimpressive 41.7% rate this year.

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