Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Nets.
The faceoff with Goga Bitadze measures in the 89th percentile with the opposition's starting Cs burying a monstrous 52.8% of their shots from downtown this year when they are on their home court.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 12 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Brooklyn Nets.
The matchup vs. Goga Bitadze is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Bitadze is on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.6 foul shots per game (89th percentile).
Ben Simmons will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ben Simmons has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons slots into the 2nd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a bad 37.5% rate this year.

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