Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 2:27 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has successfully made 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
The Nets rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup with Jusuf Nurkic places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs logging a whopping 18.1 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably high (4.9 foul shot attempts per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Ben Simmons comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.8 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Nets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Brooklyn Nets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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