Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 3, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has made 57.5% of his field goals on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The showdown with Jalen Duren registers in the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs sinking a colossal 42.4% of their shots from downtown since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 11.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Ben Simmons has attempted 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 7 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
The matchup against Jalen Duren is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against other starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a monstrous 4.0 free throws per game (96th percentile).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has attempted 0.0 treys per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons lands in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season.
The Nets rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).