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Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Nets rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 19.4 points per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a good matchup for offensive productivity.

The 7th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.

Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Ben Simmons will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons ranks in the 4th percentile for 3-point effectiveness on the road with a a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Among all players in the league, Ben Simmons rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nets rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

While playing on the road, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Ben Simmons has successfully made 34.8% of his foul shots playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 0th percentile out of all players in the league.

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