Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 5:21 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to treys, the Brooklyn Nets's superb 38.0% rate of converted threes places 2nd-highest in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has come down with 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The matchup against Boston is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Boston Celtics are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 7th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (32.3%).
The 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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