Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+125/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to three-point shots, the Brooklyn Nets's superb 37.9% rate of drained threes when playing on the road measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 9.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has made 0.0% of his 3-pointers playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ben Simmons has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The matchup against Miami is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.9).
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nets.
The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Nets.

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