Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bulls have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Nets.
Away from home, the Bulls have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Patrick Williams is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; when Williams is away from his home court and facing opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted just 3.0 free throws per game (90th percentile).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has converted 0.0% of his 3-point shots this year, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ben Simmons has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup against Patrick Williams is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when Williams is on the road and facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 5.3 threes per game (10th percentile).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ben Simmons has successfully made 26.7% of his foul shot attempts playing at home this year, placing him in the 2nd percentile among all players in the NBA.