Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
This matchup is a positive one for 3-pointers; their opposition have put up the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home (34.6%).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts this year, placing him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ben Simmons has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Suns are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.2).
The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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