Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 22, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season on the road.
The Nets have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.
The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for threes; while at home, opposing clubs have posted the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (31.4%).
The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.4 foul shots per game this year while playing at home (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has attempted 0.1 shots from downtown per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
Ben Simmons has made 36.4% of his free throws when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile among all players in the league.
Ben Simmons has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Warriors have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year while at home (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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