Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 17, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the most efficient shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.
The Nets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the Spurs may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 22.3 free throws per game this year while playing at home (7th-most in the league).
The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for attempts from downtown; opposing teams have tallied the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (32.3).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has attempted 0.1 three-point shots per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ben Simmons has converted 31.3% of his foul shots this year, ranking him in the 1st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ben Simmons has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (121.7).
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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