Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2022

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 26, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 7:53 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has made 5.4 buckets per game last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this year while playing away from home.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
While at home, the Cavaliers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Evan Mobley is a positive one; he has given up a monstrous 17.0 points per game when defending fellow starting PFs this year (9th percentile).
The matchup vs. Evan Mobley is a positive one for drawing fouls; when facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted an enormous 3.8 foul shots per game (13th percentile).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has sunk 0.0% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 0th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ben Simmons has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's highest-fouling recently: 99th percentile.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ben Simmons will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production across the board.

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