Ben Simmons Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has tallied 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile.
The Nets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nets.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Brooklyn Nets.
Ben Simmons will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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