Ben Simmons Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 24, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has tallied 6.3 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have nabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ben Simmons places in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nets.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Nets.
Ben Simmons will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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