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Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons Assists
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets

Ben Simmons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-159/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -159.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ben Simmons has totaled 6.5 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.

The Brooklyn Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).

The Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ben Simmons has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (90th percentile).

The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.

Over the last 15 games, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lengthening possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Ben Simmons stands to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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