Ben Simmons Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has tallied 6.2 assists per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
The 7th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Ben Simmons will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ben Simmons rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nets rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
While playing on the road, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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