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Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons Assists
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Ben Simmons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ben Simmons has posted 6.2 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 9.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ben Simmons has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nets.

The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Nets.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nets grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while at home with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Ben Simmons will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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