Ben Simmons Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has tallied 6.6 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric in recent games: 95th percentile.
The Celtics have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year while playing away from home (which also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ben Simmons will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Ben Simmons has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- [AMONG_THE_LEAGUES_MOST_FOUL_PRONE].
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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