Ben Sheppard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2025

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Ben Sheppard

NBA · Player Props

Ben Sheppard

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 3, 2025

Updated Dec 4, 2025 12:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Ben Sheppard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-134/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers grade out 8th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's subpar 110.2 points per game places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).
The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

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