Bam Adebayo Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has totaled an impressive 8.2 defensive boards per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.9 defensive boards per game last season.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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