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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Bam Adebayo Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-148/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has totaled 9.9 rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 97th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Bam Adebayo is expected to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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