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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has averaged 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.5 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.

Bam Adebayo has converted 58.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 28.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Bam Adebayo has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Bam Adebayo ought to suffer a reduction in production for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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