Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has attempted 15.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have been the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
Bam Adebayo has converted 90.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 15.8% more than he's made over the course of the season.
Bam Adebayo should get a boost in efficiency across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 11.8 shot attempts per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The rate of field goals converted against Mark Williams has been remarkably low (51.5%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (13th percentile).
The most lethargic pace home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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