Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Bam Adebayo has successfully made 46.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 13.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Bam Adebayo has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 8th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (46.3%).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Bam Adebayo has attempted a measly 4.1 free throws per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 5.3 rate last year.
Bam Adebayo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production across the board.

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