Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 9.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's put through the net overall this season.
Bam Adebayo has successfully made 1.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.1 minutes per game playing at home this year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat.
Bam Adebayo has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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