Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has attempted 13.2 shots per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo has made 50.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 19.3% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.7 3-point shots per game (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Bam Adebayo has attempted just 4.0 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 5.3 rate last year.
The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a hard one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.1 free throws per game (3rd percentile).
Bam Adebayo is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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