Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 82nd percentile for shots made, averaging a colossal 6.1 per game this year.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 89th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game this year.
As a team, the Miami Heat have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 7th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 22.6 foul shots per game.
Bam Adebayo stands to see a rise in efficiency across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 16th percentile for 3-point ability with a feeble 23.8% rate this year.
The number of points put up against Deandre Ayton has been remarkably low (11.9 per game) when he is playing on the road and matched up against other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

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