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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2025

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regard to offense, the Miami Heat's exceptional 115.3 points per game when playing at home ranks 8th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.

The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 1.3 3-pointers per game (3rd percentile).

The 2nd-most sluggish pace home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The clash with Nikola Jokic with respect to drawing fouls rates in the 20th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting only 2.4 foul shots per game this year when they are playing at home.

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