Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Jan 7, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has attempted 13.6 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.7 minutes per game this year.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Warriors).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 30.6% clip, Bam Adebayo's three-point proficiency has regressed this season to 21.1%.
Bam Adebayo has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season on the road.
The number of treys attempted against Trayce Jackson-Davis has been remarkably low (1.1 per game) when playing at home and facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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