Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has attempted 13.4 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has sunk a mere 21.1% of his 3-pointers this year, a significant dropoff from his 30.6 mark last year.
Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The number of shots from downtown attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been quite low (1.6 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (13th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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