Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 9:29 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted 56.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.
Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home.
The faceoff with Myles Turner slots into the 97th percentile with the other side's starting Cs making an enormous 48.0% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are on their home court.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-quickest tempo road team in the league over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 15th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a subpar 22.5% rate this year.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Myles Turner has been remarkably low this year (2.9 foul shot attempts per game when they are on their home court: 24th percentile).

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