Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on his home court.
As it relates to offense, the Miami Heat's outstanding 115.1 points per game while on their home court settles in as the 10th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Yves Missi is a good one for three-pointers; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 42.8% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Heat.
Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 17th percentile for three-point prowess while on his home court with a bad 20.8% rate this year.
Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA at home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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