Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 52.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.5% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.1 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 15 games has been the Heat.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 88th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, logging a massive 4.0 free throw attempts per game away from home this year.

Favors Under

The number of points averaged against Alperen Sengun has been quite low (12.0 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Sengun is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game (25th percentile).
Bam Adebayo is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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