Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year playing at home.
Bam Adebayo has sunk 1.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made overall this season playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.5 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Bam Adebayo has attempted 4.1 foul shots per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a hard one; he has given up a measly 10.5 points per game when playing on the road when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (15th percentile).
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 8th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Jarrett Allen has been quite low this year (1.7 foul shot attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 15th percentile).

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