Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted 47.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 18.3% more than he's converted overall this season.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive team in the league on their home court this year has been the Heat.
Bam Adebayo has attempted 3.8 free throws per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 77th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target shots playing at home, compiling a monstrous 6.4 per game this year.
The matchup with Anthony Davis measures in the 25th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs draining only 0.6 3-pointers per game this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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