Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has tallied 33.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
When it comes to treys, the Miami Heat's terrific 37.8% rate of sunk threes rates 7th-most in the NBA this year.
The number of points posted against Jakob Poeltl has been remarkably high (17.9 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (96th percentile).
Bam Adebayo has attempted 4.1 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The clash with Jakob Poeltl in terms of drawing fouls slots into just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a colossal 5.3 foul shots per game this year.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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