Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 2:27 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 23.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Favors Under

The number of points compiled against Taj Gibson has been very low (8.4 per game) when he is on his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo has converted a lowly 66.5% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 74.4 mark last year.

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