Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 53.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 38.3% rate of successful threes rates 5th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a positive one; he has given up an enormous 20.0 points per game while on the road when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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