Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 47.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.6% more than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 93rd percentile for drawing fouls, registering an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game this year.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Miami Heat's impressive 25.8 free throws per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league this year.
Bam Adebayo will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The matchup against Joel Embiid is a challenging one; he has allowed a mere 10.3 points per game while playing away from home when squaring off against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season (4th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Joel Embiid is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; when Embiid is away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game (4th percentile).