Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The rate of field goals scored against Myles Turner has been very high (67.9%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Pacers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 6th-best in in the league away from home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.
The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.8 foul shots per game (96th percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 12th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a lackluster 22.4% rate this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Bam Adebayo has converted just 64.4% of his free throws this season, quite a bit lower than his 74.4 rate last season.
Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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