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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has converted 60.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Bam Adebayo has converted 47.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.

The number of three-point shots sunk against Al Horford has been quite low (0.5 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (11th percentile).

The most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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