Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 59.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 24.6% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.2 minutes per game at home this year.
With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.2% rate of made threes on their home court ranks 7th-highest in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Heat.
Bam Adebayo has converted 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The rate of three-pointers scored against Kelly Olynyk has been remarkably low (28.1%) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (14th percentile).
The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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