Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 61.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 27.7% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.2 minutes per game this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Bam Adebayo has made 86.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The number of three-pointers attempted against Clint Capela has been very low (1.2 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the visting team with only 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Bam Adebayo will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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